Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.027995 1.154537 1.292317 1.453754 1.638081 1.842389 2.086560
2026-02-01 0.792206 0.950872 1.136902 1.372160 1.663209 2.013347 2.469292
2026-02-08 0.649265 0.821412 1.035520 1.323549 1.704162 2.194443 2.881132
2026-02-15 0.553606 0.731466 0.963787 1.292977 1.753073 2.381698 3.320095
2026-02-22 0.504231 0.692374 0.949096 1.330288 1.890984 2.699779 3.981150
2026-03-01 0.457253 0.649063 0.920881 1.341355 1.988374 2.968003 4.605748
2026-03-08 0.407949 0.595789 0.870792 1.311579 2.017168 3.132161 5.087870
2026-03-15 0.366620 0.549260 0.824603 1.280377 2.036741 3.279981 5.560190
2026-03-22 0.351007 0.539790 0.833094 1.335061 2.200000 3.681812 6.531508
2026-03-29 0.333608 0.525401 0.831713 1.372296 2.336858 4.054618 7.509386
2026-04-05 0.316314 0.509260 0.825395 1.399550 2.458180 4.413912 8.519352
2026-04-12 0.296275 0.486555 0.805608 1.400365 2.530372 4.689694 9.406410
2026-04-19 0.272642 0.456672 0.772440 1.376677 2.559993 4.900177 10.224690
2026-04-26 0.246046 0.419427 0.723108 1.318012 2.515320 4.958174 10.727707
2026-05-03 0.225170 0.390532 0.686107 1.278763 2.504483 5.084762 11.413306
2026-05-10 0.208246 0.367311 0.657321 1.252248 2.516172 5.260774 12.251449
2026-05-17 0.201079 0.361414 0.660315 1.289478 2.667509 5.767884 14.015845
2026-05-24 0.191372 0.349843 0.651251 1.300677 2.763166 6.162376 15.576975
2026-05-31 0.178100 0.330306 0.624789 1.272112 2.765165 6.334604 16.574527
2026-06-07 0.165882 0.311864 0.598920 1.242039 2.759709 6.487626 17.552561
2026-06-14 0.162972 0.311673 0.610091 1.294926 2.958644 7.189155 20.308577
2026-06-21 0.158540 0.308006 0.613660 1.330924 3.121299 7.824323 23.028161
2026-06-28 0.153492 0.302647 0.613123 1.357266 3.263293 8.428537 25.811116